North Texas
American Athletic
2025 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2025
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | @ Western Michigan | 30–33 | 28.9–27.0 | 4.9 |
| Week 3 | vs Washington State | 10–59 | 31.8–28.6 | 52.2 |
| Week 4 | @ Army | 38–45 | 32.6–26.9 | 12.7 |
| Week 5 | vs South Alabama | 22–36 | 24.9–36.6 | 2.3 |
| Week 7 | vs South Florida | 63–36 | 25.4–32.8 | 34.4 |
| Week 8 | vs UTSA | 17–55 | 26.6–32.4 | 32.2 |
| Week 9 | @ Charlotte | 20–54 | 19.3–36.8 | 16.5 |
| Week 10 | vs Navy | 17–31 | 26.1–32.8 | 7.3 |
| Week 12 | @ UAB | 24–53 | 22.8–37.8 | 14.0 |
| Week 13 | @ Rice | 24–56 | 19.3–35.9 | 15.4 |
| Week 14 | vs Temple | 25–52 | 23.0–40.9 | 9.1 |
| Week 15 | @ Tulane | 34–21 | 30.2–30.8 | 13.7 |
| Week 1 | @ San Diego State | 47–49 | 24.4–31.7 | 5.3 |