North Texas
American Athletic
2023 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2023
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs California | 58–21 | 31.4–25.0 | 30.6 |
| Week 2 | @ Florida International | 46–39 | 21.1–33.0 | 19.0 |
| Week 3 | @ Louisiana Tech | 37–40 | 26.1–28.3 | 0.9 |
| Week 6 | @ Navy | 27–24 | 30.4–24.5 | 2.9 |
| Week 7 | vs Temple | 14–45 | 27.6–35.1 | 23.5 |
| Week 8 | @ Tulane | 35–28 | 37.1–23.1 | 7.0 |
| Week 9 | vs Memphis | 45–42 | 35.0–28.3 | 3.8 |
| Week 10 | vs UTSA | 37–29 | 32.4–30.0 | 5.5 |
| Week 11 | @ SMU | 45–21 | 36.2–25.2 | 13.0 |
| Week 12 | @ Tulsa | 28–35 | 31.3–32.7 | 5.6 |
| Week 13 | vs UAB | 42–45 | 29.8–32.2 | 0.6 |