2023 Week 9 · Oct 28, 2023, 7:00 PM · DATCU Stadium
Memphis @ North Texas
Predicted scoreLean
Memphis
35.0
North Texas
28.3
North Texas win probability: 34%
Margin (North Texas − Memphis): -6.8 (80% range -28 to 14)
Total: 63.3 (80% range 38 to 90)
Actual: Memphis 45 – North Texas 42 (margin error 3.8, total error 23.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 28 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.60% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.59% |
| 38 | 24 | 0.56% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.