North Texas
American Athletic
2024 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2024
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ South Alabama | 38–52 | 33.5–23.4 | 24.1 |
| Week 3 | @ Texas Tech | 66–21 | 33.2–25.2 | 37.0 |
| Week 4 | vs Wyoming | 17–44 | 24.2–30.0 | 21.3 |
| Week 5 | vs Tulsa | 20–52 | 25.9–36.5 | 21.4 |
| Week 7 | @ Florida Atlantic | 37–41 | 29.4–30.7 | 2.7 |
| Week 8 | @ Memphis | 52–44 | 34.0–28.4 | 2.5 |
| Week 9 | vs Tulane | 45–37 | 30.8–26.3 | 3.6 |
| Week 11 | vs Army | 14–3 | 30.6–28.5 | 8.9 |
| Week 12 | @ UTSA | 48–27 | 28.3–27.3 | 20.0 |
| Week 13 | vs East Carolina | 40–28 | 29.5–34.6 | 17.2 |
| Week 14 | @ Temple | 17–24 | 24.9–33.3 | 1.4 |
| Week 1 | @ Texas State | 30–28 | 31.5–30.2 | 0.7 |