2024 Week 11 · Nov 9, 2024, 8:30 PM · DATCU Stadium
Army @ North Texas
Predicted scoreToss-up
Army
30.6
North Texas
28.5
North Texas win probability: 44%
Margin (North Texas − Army): -2.1 (80% range -22 to 18)
Total: 59.2 (80% range 35 to 86)
Actual: Army 14 – North Texas 3 (margin error 8.9, total error 42.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 28 | 21 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.66% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.65% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.61% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.