2024 Week 3 · Sep 14, 2024, 4:00 PM · Jones AT&T Stadium
North Texas @ Texas Tech
Predicted scoreLean
North Texas
25.2
Texas Tech
33.2
Texas Tech win probability: 69%
Margin (Texas Tech − North Texas): 8.0 (80% range -13 to 29)
Total: 58.5 (80% range 34 to 84)
Actual: North Texas 21 – Texas Tech 66 (margin error 37.0, total error 28.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.70% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.60% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.60% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.57% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.