2024 Week 8 · Oct 19, 2024, 11:30 PM · Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium

North Texas @ Memphis

Predicted scoreLean

North Texas

28.4

Memphis

34.0

Memphis win probability: 63%

Margin (Memphis − North Texas): 5.5 (80% range -16 to 27)

Total: 62.4 (80% range 38 to 89)

Actual: North Texas 44 – Memphis 52 (margin error 2.5, total error 33.6)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.