2024 Week 9 · Oct 26, 2024, 4:00 PM · DATCU Stadium
Tulane @ North Texas
Predicted scoreLean
Tulane
30.8
North Texas
26.3
North Texas win probability: 39%
Margin (North Texas − Tulane): -4.4 (80% range -25 to 17)
Total: 57.1 (80% range 34 to 83)
Actual: Tulane 45 – North Texas 37 (margin error 3.6, total error 24.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.62% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.62% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.58% |
| 21 | 21 | 0.57% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.