2024 Week 4 · Sep 21, 2024, 11:00 PM · DATCU Stadium
Wyoming @ North Texas
Predicted scoreLean
Wyoming
24.2
North Texas
30.0
North Texas win probability: 64%
Margin (North Texas − Wyoming): 5.7 (80% range -14 to 26)
Total: 54.2 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: Wyoming 17 – North Texas 44 (margin error 21.3, total error 6.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 21 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.65% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.