2023 Week 2 · Sep 9, 2023, 10:30 PM · FIU Stadium
North Texas @ Florida International
Predicted scoreLikely
North Texas
33.0
Florida International
21.1
Florida International win probability: 23%
Margin (Florida International − North Texas): -12.0 (80% range -32 to 8)
Total: 54.1 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: North Texas 39 – Florida International 46 (margin error 19.0, total error 30.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.83% |
| 38 | 17 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.70% |
| 28 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 31 | 21 | 0.68% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.