2025 Week 13 · Nov 23, 2025, 12:30 AM · Rice Stadium
North Texas @ Rice
Predicted scoreConfident
North Texas
35.9
Rice
19.3
Rice win probability: 15%
Margin (Rice − North Texas): -16.6 (80% range -38 to 4)
Total: 55.2 (80% range 31 to 80)
Actual: North Texas 56 – Rice 24 (margin error 15.4, total error 24.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.83% |
| 38 | 17 | 0.80% |
| 28 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.67% |
| 35 | 17 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.