2025 Week 3 · Sep 13, 2025, 7:30 PM · DATCU Stadium
Washington State @ North Texas
Predicted scoreToss-up
Washington State
31.8
North Texas
28.6
North Texas win probability: 42%
Margin (North Texas − Washington State): -3.2 (80% range -24 to 18)
Total: 60.4 (80% range 35 to 86)
Actual: Washington State 10 – North Texas 59 (margin error 52.2, total error 8.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 24 | 0.72% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.61% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.60% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.58% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.57% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.