2025 Week 9 · Oct 24, 2025, 11:00 PM · Jerry Richardson Stadium

North Texas @ Charlotte

Predicted scoreConfident

North Texas

36.8

Charlotte

19.3

Charlotte win probability: 14%

Margin (Charlotte − North Texas): -17.5 (80% range -38 to 3)

Total: 56.1 (80% range 33 to 81)

Actual: North Texas 54 – Charlotte 20 (margin error 16.5, total error 17.9)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.