2025 Week 15 · Dec 6, 2025, 1:00 AM · Yulman Stadium
North Texas @ Tulane
Predicted scoreToss-up
North Texas
30.8
Tulane
30.2
Tulane win probability: 48%
Margin (Tulane − North Texas): -0.7 (80% range -21 to 21)
Total: 61.0 (80% range 37 to 87)
Actual: North Texas 21 – Tulane 34 (margin error 13.7, total error 6.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.58% |
| 31 | 21 | 0.58% |
| 24 | 28 | 0.56% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.55% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.