Memphis
American Athletic
2025 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2025
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | @ Georgia State | 16–38 | 22.4–32.6 | 11.8 |
| Week 3 | @ Troy | 7–28 | 24.8–28.4 | 17.4 |
| Week 4 | vs Arkansas | 31–32 | 32.2–26.3 | 7.0 |
| Week 5 | @ Florida Atlantic | 26–55 | 22.9–31.4 | 20.4 |
| Week 6 | vs Tulsa | 7–45 | 18.4–39.1 | 17.3 |
| Week 8 | @ UAB | 31–24 | 21.9–34.4 | 19.5 |
| Week 9 | vs South Florida | 31–34 | 28.7–27.6 | 4.1 |
| Week 10 | @ Rice | 14–38 | 21.2–31.6 | 13.6 |
| Week 11 | vs Tulane | 38–32 | 27.8–28.0 | 6.2 |
| Week 12 | @ East Carolina | 31–27 | 29.0–26.6 | 1.6 |
| Week 14 | vs Navy | 28–17 | 26.7–29.6 | 13.9 |
| Week 1 | @ NC State | 31–7 | 27.9–26.9 | 23.0 |