Memphis
American Athletic
2023 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2023
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | @ Arkansas State | 3–37 | 20.6–39.9 | 14.7 |
| Week 3 | vs Navy | 24–28 | 18.8–30.1 | 7.3 |
| Week 4 | @ Missouri | 34–27 | 30.6–23.7 | 0.1 |
| Week 5 | vs Boise State | 32–35 | 26.6–28.7 | 1.0 |
| Week 7 | vs Tulane | 31–21 | 26.9–26.8 | 10.0 |
| Week 8 | @ UAB | 21–45 | 27.7–30.4 | 21.3 |
| Week 9 | @ North Texas | 42–45 | 28.3–35.0 | 3.8 |
| Week 10 | vs South Florida | 50–59 | 23.4–34.6 | 2.2 |
| Week 11 | @ Charlotte | 38–44 | 22.2–33.6 | 5.5 |
| Week 12 | vs SMU | 38–34 | 29.4–28.7 | 3.3 |
| Week 13 | @ Temple | 21–45 | 22.7–37.6 | 9.1 |
| Week 1 | @ Iowa State | 26–36 | 29.8–21.0 | 18.7 |