2023 Week 11 · Nov 11, 2023, 7:00 PM · Jerry Richardson Stadium

Memphis @ Charlotte

Predicted scoreLikely

Memphis

33.6

Charlotte

22.2

Charlotte win probability: 24%

Margin (Charlotte − Memphis): -11.5 (80% range -32 to 10)

Total: 55.8 (80% range 32 to 80)

Actual: Memphis 44 – Charlotte 38 (margin error 5.5, total error 26.2)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.