Memphis

American Athletic

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 8	vs East Carolina	22.4–32.1	72%
Week 9	vs Army	25.2–31.3	65%
Week 11	@ South Florida	28.9–27.5	46%
Week 12	@ Navy	26.9–26.7	49%
Week 13	vs Temple	24.2–37.4	78%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	@ UNLV	21–27	29.6–28.6	7.0
Week 1	vs Arkansas State	24–42	22.0–34.8	5.3
Week 2	@ Boise State	38–20	31.7–23.9	10.1
Week 3	vs UT Martin	21–45	—	—
Week 5	@ Charlotte	8–59	17.7–33.0	35.7
Week 6	vs UAB	13–38	22.1–36.7	10.4
Week 7	@ Tulane	31–17	27.8–28.0	14.2