Memphis
American Athletic
2026 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Upcoming forecasts
| Week | Opponent | Predicted score | Win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs Arkansas State | 21.9–34.7 | 78% |
| Week 2 | @ Boise State | 30.5–24.0 | 35% |
| Week 5 | @ Charlotte | 19.4–31.6 | 78% |
| Week 6 | vs UAB | 21.6–36.0 | 81% |
| Week 7 | @ Tulane | 30.9–25.3 | 37% |
| Week 8 | vs East Carolina | 27.9–29.7 | 54% |
| Week 9 | vs Army | 23.8–27.3 | 58% |
| Week 11 | @ South Florida | 33.7–24.8 | 29% |
| Week 12 | @ Navy | 30.4–24.9 | 37% |
| Week 13 | vs Temple | 23.5–35.9 | 77% |
Past prediction accuracy — 2026
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ UNLV | 21–27 | 29.6–28.6 | 7.0 |