Predicted scoreLikely
Temple
24.2
Memphis
37.4
Memphis win probability: 78%
Margin (Memphis − Temple): 13.2 (80% range -8 to 35)
Total: 61.5 (80% range 37 to 88)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 38 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 38 | 0.63% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.60% |
| 21 | 31 | 0.57% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.53% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:57:04 PM | 12.4 | 59.4 | 77% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:59 PM | 12.4 | 59.4 | 77% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:34:04 PM | 12.4 | 59.4 | 77% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:51:29 AM | 12.4 | 59.4 | 77% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:06:11 PM | 12.3 | 59.4 | 77% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:05:58 PM | 11.8 | 59.7 | 76% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:59:32 PM | 13.5 | 61.4 | 79% |
| 9/13/2026, 3:01:12 PM | 8.3 | 62.0 | 69% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:42:53 PM | 8.3 | 62.0 | 69% |
| 9/27/2026, 12:02:21 PM | 8.3 | 62.0 | 69% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:40:39 PM | 8.3 | 62.0 | 69% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:34:36 PM | 6.1 | 63.0 | 64% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:48:55 PM | 8.4 | 62.3 | 69% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:45:05 PM | 11.7 | 62.5 | 76% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:25:07 PM | 13.2 | 61.5 | 78% |