Predicted scoreLikely
Temple
23.5
Memphis
35.9
Memphis win probability: 77%
Margin (Memphis − Temple): 12.4 (80% range -9 to 34)
Total: 59.4 (80% range 34 to 86)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 21 | 31 | 0.60% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.59% |
| 21 | 38 | 0.56% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.56% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:57:04 PM | 12.4 | 59.4 | 77% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:59 PM | 12.4 | 59.4 | 77% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:34:04 PM | 12.4 | 59.4 | 77% |