Memphis
American Athletic
2024 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2024
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | vs Troy | 17–38 | 26.2–32.3 | 14.9 |
| Week 3 | @ Florida State | 12–20 | 34.0–25.8 | 16.2 |
| Week 4 | @ Navy | 56–44 | 23.1–29.4 | 18.3 |
| Week 5 | vs Middle Tennessee | 7–24 | 22.9–42.1 | 2.2 |
| Week 7 | @ South Florida | 3–21 | 27.5–35.1 | 10.4 |
| Week 8 | vs North Texas | 44–52 | 28.4–34.0 | 2.5 |
| Week 9 | vs Charlotte | 28–33 | 21.2–34.8 | 8.5 |
| Week 10 | @ UTSA | 44–36 | 24.9–28.6 | 11.7 |
| Week 11 | vs Rice | 20–27 | 22.4–31.3 | 1.9 |
| Week 12 | vs UAB | 18–53 | 23.7–35.7 | 23.0 |
| Week 14 | @ Tulane | 24–34 | 33.1–22.1 | 21.0 |
| Week 1 | @ West Virginia | 37–42 | 34.0–27.9 | 11.1 |