2024 Week 12 · Nov 17, 2024, 1:00 AM · Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium

UAB @ Memphis

Predicted scoreLikely

UAB

23.7

Memphis

35.7

Memphis win probability: 76%

Margin (Memphis − UAB): 12.0 (80% range -10 to 33)

Total: 59.4 (80% range 35 to 85)

Actual: UAB 18 – Memphis 53 (margin error 23.0, total error 11.6)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.