Predicted scoreLikely
Memphis
22.1
Tulane
33.1
Tulane win probability: 75%
Margin (Tulane − Memphis): 11.0 (80% range -10 to 31)
Total: 55.2 (80% range 31 to 80)
Actual: Memphis 34 – Tulane 24 (margin error 21.0, total error 2.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 21 | 31 | 0.64% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.