2024 Week 11 · Nov 9, 2024, 2:00 AM · Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium

Rice @ Memphis

Predicted scoreLikely

Rice

22.4

Memphis

31.3

Memphis win probability: 71%

Margin (Memphis − Rice): 8.9 (80% range -11 to 30)

Total: 53.6 (80% range 31 to 79)

Actual: Rice 20 – Memphis 27 (margin error 1.9, total error 6.6)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.