2024 Week 2 · Sep 7, 2024, 4:00 PM · Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium

Troy @ Memphis

Predicted scoreLean

Troy

26.2

Memphis

32.3

Memphis win probability: 64%

Margin (Memphis − Troy): 6.1 (80% range -14 to 28)

Total: 58.5 (80% range 34 to 83)

Actual: Troy 17 – Memphis 38 (margin error 14.9, total error 3.5)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.