2024 Week 9 · Oct 26, 2024, 4:00 PM · Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium

Charlotte @ Memphis

Predicted scoreLikely

Charlotte

21.2

Memphis

34.8

Memphis win probability: 80%

Margin (Memphis − Charlotte): 13.5 (80% range -7 to 35)

Total: 56.0 (80% range 33 to 81)

Actual: Charlotte 28 – Memphis 33 (margin error 8.5, total error 5.0)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.