2024 Postseason · Dec 18, 2024, 2:00 AM · Toyota Stadium (neutral site)

Memphis @ West Virginia

Predicted scoreLean

Memphis

27.9

West Virginia

34.0

West Virginia win probability: 64%

Margin (West Virginia − Memphis): 6.1 (80% range -15 to 28)

Total: 61.8 (80% range 37 to 89)

Actual: Memphis 42 – West Virginia 37 (margin error 11.1, total error 17.2)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.