Predicted scoreLikely
Memphis
31.6
Charlotte
19.4
Charlotte win probability: 22%
Margin (Charlotte − Memphis): -12.2 (80% range -32 to 7)
Total: 51.0 (80% range 28 to 75)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.76% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.75% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.71% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 31 | 10 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:01 PM | -12.3 | 51.0 | 22% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:10 PM | -12.3 | 51.0 | 22% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:28:42 PM | -12.2 | 51.0 | 22% |