Predicted scoreLean
Memphis
25.3
Tulane
30.9
Tulane win probability: 63%
Margin (Tulane − Memphis): 5.6 (80% range -15 to 27)
Total: 56.2 (80% range 33 to 82)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.62% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.57% |
| 28 | 24 | 0.57% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.57% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:39 PM | 5.6 | 56.2 | 63% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:32 PM | 5.6 | 56.2 | 63% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:29:43 PM | 5.6 | 56.2 | 63% |