Predicted scoreLikely
Memphis
37.6
Temple
22.7
Temple win probability: 18%
Margin (Temple − Memphis): -14.9 (80% range -36 to 7)
Total: 60.3 (80% range 35 to 86)
Actual: Memphis 45 – Temple 21 (margin error 9.1, total error 5.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 38 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.66% |
| 35 | 17 | 0.64% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.60% |
| 31 | 21 | 0.56% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.