Predicted scoreLikely
Memphis
31.6
Rice
21.2
Rice win probability: 26%
Margin (Rice − Memphis): -10.4 (80% range -31 to 10)
Total: 52.8 (80% range 30 to 76)
Actual: Memphis 38 – Rice 14 (margin error 13.6, total error 0.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.77% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 28 | 14 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.