2025 Week 11 · Nov 8, 2025, 2:00 AM · Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium

Tulane @ Memphis

Predicted scoreToss-up

Tulane

27.8

Memphis

28.0

Memphis win probability: 51%

Margin (Memphis − Tulane): 0.2 (80% range -21 to 21)

Total: 55.8 (80% range 31 to 81)

Actual: Tulane 38 – Memphis 32 (margin error 6.2, total error 14.2)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.