Louisiana
Sun Belt
2025 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2025
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs Rice | 14–12 | 18.1–31.6 | 15.4 |
| Week 3 | @ Missouri | 52–10 | 32.1–19.7 | 29.6 |
| Week 4 | @ Eastern Michigan | 34–31 | 26.5–30.6 | 7.1 |
| Week 5 | vs Marshall | 51–54 | 25.5–28.5 | 0.1 |
| Week 7 | @ James Madison | 24–14 | 31.1–19.0 | 2.0 |
| Week 8 | vs Southern Miss | 22–10 | 23.2–27.6 | 16.3 |
| Week 9 | @ Troy | 35–23 | 26.3–22.3 | 7.9 |
| Week 10 | @ South Alabama | 22–31 | 28.7–23.8 | 13.9 |
| Week 11 | vs Texas State | 39–42 | 30.4–27.3 | 6.1 |
| Week 13 | @ Arkansas State | 30–34 | 26.2–27.3 | 2.9 |
| Week 14 | vs UL Monroe | 27–30 | 20.3–30.0 | 6.7 |
| Week 1 | @ Delaware | 20–13 | 28.2–29.2 | 8.0 |