Louisiana
Sun Belt
2024 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2024
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | @ Kennesaw State | 10–34 | 30.7–22.6 | 32.2 |
| Week 4 | vs Tulane | 41–33 | 25.6–24.2 | 6.6 |
| Week 5 | @ Wake Forest | 38–41 | 30.0–24.4 | 8.6 |
| Week 6 | @ Southern Miss | 13–23 | 18.8–35.2 | 6.4 |
| Week 7 | vs App State | 24–34 | 25.0–33.1 | 1.9 |
| Week 8 | @ Coastal Carolina | 24–34 | 25.2–23.7 | 11.5 |
| Week 10 | @ Texas State | 17–23 | 32.7–24.7 | 14.0 |
| Week 11 | vs Arkansas State | 19–55 | 26.0–33.8 | 28.2 |
| Week 12 | vs South Alabama | 24–22 | 26.7–28.3 | 3.6 |
| Week 13 | vs Troy | 30–51 | 23.9–28.7 | 16.2 |
| Week 14 | @ UL Monroe | 23–37 | 21.9–29.6 | 6.3 |
| Week 15 | vs Marshall | 31–3 | 25.8–30.7 | 32.9 |
| Week 1 | @ TCU | 34–3 | 35.3–25.1 | 20.8 |