2024 Week 5 · Sep 28, 2024, 7:30 PM · Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium

Louisiana @ Wake Forest

Predicted scoreLean

Louisiana

24.4

Wake Forest

30.0

Wake Forest win probability: 64%

Margin (Wake Forest − Louisiana): 5.6 (80% range -15 to 26)

Total: 54.5 (80% range 31 to 79)

Actual: Louisiana 41 – Wake Forest 38 (margin error 8.6, total error 24.5)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.