Louisiana
Sun Belt
2023 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2023
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | @ Old Dominion | 38–31 | 24.6–26.6 | 9.1 |
| Week 3 | @ UAB | 21–41 | 29.3–25.7 | 23.6 |
| Week 4 | vs Buffalo | 38–45 | 23.4–33.0 | 2.6 |
| Week 5 | @ Minnesota | 35–24 | 28.4–26.5 | 9.1 |
| Week 6 | vs Texas State | 30–34 | 25.0–27.8 | 1.2 |
| Week 8 | vs Georgia State | 20–17 | 29.3–28.5 | 2.2 |
| Week 9 | @ South Alabama | 20–33 | 32.7–20.7 | 25.1 |
| Week 10 | @ Arkansas State | 37–17 | 23.6–37.1 | 33.5 |
| Week 11 | vs Southern Miss | 34–31 | 20.2–32.0 | 14.8 |
| Week 12 | @ Troy | 31–24 | 30.3–20.0 | 3.3 |
| Week 13 | vs UL Monroe | 21–52 | 19.6–31.5 | 19.1 |
| Week 1 | vs Jacksonville State | 34–31 | 27.2–25.8 | 1.6 |