Predicted scoreLikely
UL Monroe
19.6
Louisiana
31.5
Louisiana win probability: 77%
Margin (Louisiana − UL Monroe): 11.9 (80% range -8 to 32)
Total: 51.2 (80% range 28 to 75)
Actual: UL Monroe 21 – Louisiana 52 (margin error 19.1, total error 21.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.76% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.69% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.67% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.