Louisiana

Sun Belt

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 8	@ Southern Miss	21.6–28.9	68%
Week 10	vs South Alabama	25.0–29.5	61%
Week 11	@ UL Monroe	16.3–32.7	86%
Week 12	vs Coastal Carolina	18.1–28.8	76%
Week 13	@ Georgia State	25.3–25.6	51%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	vs Lamar	7–38	—	—
Week 2	@ USC	49–30	39.5–13.9	6.6
Week 3	vs UAB	14–21	23.1–29.2	1.0
Week 4	@ Charlotte	7–34	21.1–27.8	20.3
Week 5	vs Arkansas State	20–23	20.4–30.6	7.2
Week 6	@ Louisiana Tech	32–31	23.8–21.4	1.4
Week 7	vs Troy	6–33	23.1–26.0	24.1