Predicted scoreLean
Louisiana
27.9
Charlotte
21.7
Charlotte win probability: 34%
Margin (Charlotte − Louisiana): -6.2 (80% range -26 to 14)
Total: 49.6 (80% range 27 to 73)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.78% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.71% |
| 21 | 14 | 0.70% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:47 PM | -6.2 | 48.7 | 34% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:55 PM | -6.4 | 48.6 | 34% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:27:49 PM | -6.2 | 49.6 | 34% |