Predicted scoreLean
Louisiana
28.9
UL Monroe
21.9
UL Monroe win probability: 33%
Margin (UL Monroe − Louisiana): -7.1 (80% range -28 to 13)
Total: 50.8 (80% range 28 to 75)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.83% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:38 PM | -7.1 | 50.8 | 33% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:28 PM | -7.1 | 50.8 | 33% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:32:31 PM | -7.1 | 50.8 | 33% |