2026 Week 6 · Oct 10, 2026, 4:00 AM · Joe Aillet Stadium
Louisiana @ Louisiana Tech
Predicted scoreToss-up
Louisiana
23.1
Louisiana Tech
26.0
Louisiana Tech win probability: 57%
Margin (Louisiana Tech − Louisiana): 2.9 (80% range -17 to 22)
Total: 49.1 (80% range 27 to 72)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.89% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.71% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.70% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:18 PM | 2.9 | 49.1 | 57% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:27 PM | 2.9 | 49.1 | 57% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:29:29 PM | 2.9 | 49.1 | 57% |