2026 Week 12 · Nov 21, 2026, 5:00 AM · Cajun Field
Coastal Carolina @ Louisiana
Predicted scoreLean
Coastal Carolina
19.4
Louisiana
27.2
Louisiana win probability: 70%
Margin (Louisiana − Coastal Carolina): 7.9 (80% range -11 to 28)
Total: 46.6 (80% range 24 to 69)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.81% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.80% |
| 14 | 21 | 0.79% |
| 14 | 17 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.77% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:47 PM | 7.9 | 46.6 | 70% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:49 PM | 6.8 | 46.7 | 67% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:33:46 PM | 7.9 | 46.6 | 70% |