2026 Week 12 · Nov 21, 2026, 5:00 AM · Cajun Field
Coastal Carolina @ Louisiana
Predicted scoreLikely
Coastal Carolina
18.1
Louisiana
28.8
Louisiana win probability: 76%
Margin (Louisiana − Coastal Carolina): 10.7 (80% range -8 to 31)
Total: 47.0 (80% range 26 to 69)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.84% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.77% |
| 10 | 21 | 0.71% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:47 PM | 7.9 | 46.6 | 70% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:49 PM | 6.8 | 46.7 | 67% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:33:46 PM | 7.9 | 46.6 | 70% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:50:51 AM | 7.8 | 46.6 | 69% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:05:46 PM | 7.9 | 46.6 | 70% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:05:09 PM | 6.9 | 46.5 | 68% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:58:28 PM | 4.9 | 46.9 | 63% |
| 9/13/2026, 3:00:40 PM | 7.4 | 48.6 | 68% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:42:21 PM | 7.4 | 48.6 | 68% |
| 9/27/2026, 12:01:47 PM | 7.7 | 48.5 | 69% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:40:14 PM | 7.7 | 48.6 | 69% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:34:23 PM | 10.7 | 43.5 | 77% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:48:14 PM | 9.9 | 45.6 | 74% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:44:16 PM | 8.6 | 46.0 | 71% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:24:46 PM | 10.7 | 47.0 | 76% |