2024 Postseason · Dec 28, 2024, 7:15 PM · University Stadium (NM) (neutral site)

Louisiana @ TCU

Predicted scoreLikely

Louisiana

25.1

TCU

35.3

TCU win probability: 73%

Margin (TCU − Louisiana): 10.2 (80% range -11 to 32)

Total: 60.3 (80% range 35 to 86)

Actual: Louisiana 3 – TCU 34 (margin error 20.8, total error 23.3)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.