Predicted scoreToss-up
Tulane
25.6
Louisiana
24.2
Louisiana win probability: 46%
Margin (Louisiana − Tulane): -1.4 (80% range -21 to 18)
Total: 49.8 (80% range 27 to 73)
Actual: Tulane 41 – Louisiana 33 (margin error 6.6, total error 24.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 14 | 0.71% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.