Predicted scoreLean
Louisiana
29.6
UL Monroe
21.9
UL Monroe win probability: 32%
Margin (UL Monroe − Louisiana): -7.7 (80% range -28 to 13)
Total: 51.5 (80% range 28 to 76)
Actual: Louisiana 37 – UL Monroe 23 (margin error 6.3, total error 8.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.78% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.77% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.66% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.