2024 Week 2 · Sep 7, 2024, 11:00 PM · Fifth Third Stadium

Louisiana @ Kennesaw State

Predicted scoreLean

Louisiana

22.6

Kennesaw State

30.7

Kennesaw State win probability: 69%

Margin (Kennesaw State − Louisiana): 8.2 (80% range -13 to 28)

Total: 53.3 (80% range 31 to 78)

Actual: Louisiana 34 – Kennesaw State 10 (margin error 32.2, total error 9.3)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.