2025 Week 7 · Oct 11, 2025, 4:00 PM · Bridgeforth Stadium
Louisiana @ James Madison
Predicted scoreLikely
Louisiana
19.0
James Madison
31.1
James Madison win probability: 78%
Margin (James Madison − Louisiana): 12.0 (80% range -7 to 32)
Total: 50.1 (80% range 28 to 73)
Actual: Louisiana 14 – James Madison 24 (margin error 2.0, total error 12.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.79% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.77% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 7 | 24 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.