Predicted scoreLikely
Rice
18.1
Louisiana
31.6
Louisiana win probability: 80%
Margin (Louisiana − Rice): 13.4 (80% range -7 to 34)
Total: 49.7 (80% range 28 to 73)
Actual: Rice 14 – Louisiana 12 (margin error 15.4, total error 23.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | 24 | 0.88% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.81% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.80% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.77% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.72% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.