Predicted scoreLikely
Louisiana
19.7
Missouri
32.1
Missouri win probability: 79%
Margin (Missouri − Louisiana): 12.4 (80% range -7 to 32)
Total: 51.8 (80% range 30 to 76)
Actual: Louisiana 10 – Missouri 52 (margin error 29.6, total error 10.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.78% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 14 | 21 | 0.66% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.62% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.