Predicted scoreLikely
UL Monroe
20.3
Louisiana
30.0
Louisiana win probability: 73%
Margin (Louisiana − UL Monroe): 9.7 (80% range -10 to 29)
Total: 50.3 (80% range 28 to 74)
Actual: UL Monroe 27 – Louisiana 30 (margin error 6.7, total error 6.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | 31 | 0.89% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.85% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.81% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.75% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.73% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.