2025 Week 4 · Sep 20, 2025, 7:30 PM · Rynearson Stadium
Louisiana @ Eastern Michigan
Predicted scoreToss-up
Louisiana
30.6
Eastern Michigan
26.5
Eastern Michigan win probability: 40%
Margin (Eastern Michigan − Louisiana): -4.1 (80% range -25 to 17)
Total: 57.0 (80% range 34 to 83)
Actual: Louisiana 31 – Eastern Michigan 34 (margin error 7.1, total error 8.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 28 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 31 | 21 | 0.66% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.60% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.59% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.